Nvidia

NVDA on Nasdaq. NVIDIA sells chips and software to companies building AI systems. Market value $5260.8bn.

Not on tonight’s list. It failed one of the two tests; the numbers are below.

Cash yield
n/a

We could not compute this from the filings.

Price to profit
40.3×full

You pay 40.3 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
50.6%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 51 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Five years of cash, in billions

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20222023202420252026
Revenue$26.9bn$27.0bn$60.9bn$130.5bn$215.9bn
Operating margin37.3%15.7%54.1%62.4%60.4%
Debt to equity0.410.440.200.110.05
Shares outstanding2.51bn2.47bn2.50bn24.40bn24.30bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive0 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Warning signs
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
  • Debt0.05× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 68.3% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 868% more shares since 2022

Dates

17 November 2026
Next results (estimated)
25 February 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
25 November 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)

Funds that own it

ManagerValueChange
TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LLC$2.1bnCut 6%
GMO Asset Management$935mAdded 13×
Gotham Asset Management$804mCut 3%
Polen Capital$796mCut 3%
Bridgewater Associates$774mCut 18%
Egerton Capital$684mAdded 28%
Appaloosa LP$305mAdded 4%
Jensen Investment Management$240mCut 27%
Aristotle Atlantic Partners$228mCut 6%
Scion Asset Management$187mNew position
GAMCO Investors$70mAdded 5%
Davis Selected Advisers$31mAdded 36%
Harris Associates$2mHeld
Dodge & Cox$680,306Held
Weitz Investment Management$0Exited
Third Point$0Exited

From 13F filings for the quarter ending 31 December 2025. These are reported 45 days late and only show long positions.

Insiders

We do not track insider filings for this company yet.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer. Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; the five-year figures are rounded.