Asml Holding NV

ASML on Nasdaq. Special industry machinery, nec. Market value $654.6bn.

Not on tonight’s list. It failed one of the two tests; the numbers are below.

Cash yield
1.7%low

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $1.69 of spare cash last year. A savings account pays about 4.

Price to profit
57.0×full

You pay 57.0 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
39.5%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 40 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Five years of cash, in billions

9.9
7.2
3.3
9.1
11.1
20212022202320242025
Revenue$18.6bn$21.2bn$27.6bn$28.3bn$32.7bn
Operating margin36.3%30.7%32.8%31.9%34.6%
Debt to equity0.400.400.340.200.14
Shares outstanding0.40bn0.39bn0.39bn0.39bn0.39bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Clean
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)8 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.14× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 15.1% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 4% fewer since 2021

Dates

14 October 2026
Next results (estimated)
25 February 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
n/a
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)

Funds that own it

ManagerValueChange
Lone Pine Capital$1.1bnCut 13%
Eagle Capital Management$744mCut 14%
GMO Asset Management$302mHeld
Bridgewater Associates$123mCut 33%
Appaloosa LP$99mHeld
Third Point$60mAdded 150%
Polen Capital$31mCut 4%
Gotham Asset Management$2mHeld
Weitz Investment Management$0Exited

From 13F filings for the quarter ending 30 June 2026. These are reported 45 days late and only show long positions.

Insiders

We do not track insider filings for this company yet.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer. Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; the five-year figures are rounded.